Historical data & scenario analysis
Five years of verified crude, rupee, and Delhi pump-price data. Every value sourced. Where the main dashboard runs a 2026 conflict scenario, that overlay is clearly marked.
Brent crude vs USD/INR
The price difference — what you paid vs what you'd have paid
Anchor: May 22, 2022 — Brent $112.16 × USD/INR ₹77.82 = ₹8,728/bbl crude-in-INR; Delhi petrol ₹96.72/L after the ₹8/L excise cut. Each subsequent day's market-linked price = anchor + (crude-in-INR change × ₹0.00663/L per ₹/bbl) — the elasticity from the main dashboard's Oil Shock calculator. Chart clamps to May 22, 2022 onwards and holds the post-cut tax stack constant. Editorial reconstruction, not an official OMC under-recovery number — see Methodology below for full sourcing.
India fuel — 6 metros
India crude basket — FY averages
Why Indian fuel doesn't move with global oil
Retail petrol and diesel in India rise faster than they fall. When global crude spikes, Oil Marketing Companies and the Centre's excise duty cushion the consumer initially — then quietly pass it through. When crude falls, that cushion is reclaimed as tax revenue or OMC margin, not consumer relief. The numbers below tell that story across the date range you've selected.
All deltas are computed directly from the verified data above. No interpolation. Change the date range filter to see this asymmetry over different windows — the 2020 COVID crash, the 2022 Russia-Ukraine spike, and the 22-month freeze that followed each tell different chapters.